02 January 2012

Comparing Apples to Giraffes

In which Austin Hill makes a category error:

So things are looking very good for Mitt Romney, as he seeks the Republican nomination for the presidency. And this means that Americans will likely have to answer an important question in 2012: which would you prefer at the White House -Mormon theology, or Marxist liberation theology?

Well, seeing as how the occupant of the White House is the president, and not the priest, of the united states, the answer to the question doesn’t actually matter.  While nominal religious beliefs might correlate to political behavior, the more correct, and thus relevant metric is that of past political behavior.*

Of course, Austin Hill won’t make this point because doing so will reveal , quite clearly, that there is no appreciable practical difference between Romney and Obama.

* I can’t remember where I read it (it might have been Freakonomics or The Myth of the Rational Voter), but there is research that shows that political behaviors and voting patterns remain consistent during a politician’s time in office.  Consequently, a politician’s voting/behavioral record is the best predictor of future behavior.

1 comment:

  1. Of course, Austin Hill won’t make this point because doing so will reveal , quite clearly, that there is no appreciable practical difference between Romney and Obama.

    Ding, ding, ding, ding, ding, ding, ding! We have a WINNER!

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